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楠木青城……

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中国加入世贸组织之后经历了高增长低通胀黄金5年，然而从06年下半年开始地产出现泡沫，通胀开始抬头，股市奔腾向前，大批热钱涌入，国内货币流动性过剩，而人民银行不断调高利息，效果却是杯水车薪（调高利息虽然可以减少银行放贷，但直接加速人民币升值，更多热钱流入，对冲了调控效果）中国经济出现了严重的过热（严重过热是我个人说法）。经济转型势在必行。　　中央政府的十一五计划中有增加农民收入这条，意味着低廉的农产品时代已经过去，农产品涨价将长期存在，直到回归到真正的市场价值（过去政府一直压低农产品价格以执行以农补工的政策）2007年初，以猪肉价格上涨为导火索的全面通胀拉开序幕，从而最终导致了整个劳动力成本上升，加之人民币升值，使东南沿海地区低附加值加工业无法生存，迫使企业向中高附加值加工转型，这样也许过个三五年的阵痛期，中国经济在突破了这个瓶颈这后会继续飞速向前。　　然而国际形势的发展确给国内过热的情况又添了把油。07到08年上半年，铁矿石，石油，大豆，几乎中国需要进口战略性资源全部大幅上涨，这里的上涨不全都是市场供求的体现，2004年中国豆内加工企业要去美国采购大豆，芝加哥商品交易所的黄豆价格在短时间内翻番，随着采购的结束，其价格便大幅回落，中国企业为此损失巨大。石油价格在世界经济衰退预期明显的情况下仍然涨到了近150美元每桶（中国对外石油依存度为50%）,其中必然有大的利益集团在幕后操纵（具体情况下次更新）。在这种情况下国内形势不容乐观。　　China's accession to the WTO has experienced high growth and low inflation gold 5 years, however, start from the second half of 2006 real estate bubble, inflation began to rise, the stock market Pentium forward, a large number of hot money influx of excess liquidity in domestic currency, while the people the constant increase in bank interest rates, the effect is a drop in the ocean (although the increase in interest rates can be reduced bank lending, but directly to accelerate the appreciation of the renminbi, more hot money flows, hedge effectiveness of the regulation and control) of China's economic emergence of a serious overheating (Severe overheating is my personal argument) Imperative of economic 　　Central government's Eleventh Five-Year Plan has increased the income of the farmers this means that low-cost agricultural products is over time, agricultural prices will exist for a long time, until the return to the real market value (In the past the Government has been suppressing the prices of agricultural products to farmers up to perform Public policy) early in 2007 to pork prices for the fuse of a comprehensive inflation began, thus finally led to a rise in the cost of the entire labor force, coupled with the appreciation of the renminbi to the southeast coastal areas with low value-added processing industry can not survive, forcing enterprises Medium to high value-added processing in transition, so too may be a painful period in 2035, China's economy broke through the bottleneck at the latter will continue to move forward 　　However, development of the international situation does give domestic overheating adds to the 07-08 in the first half, iron ore, oil, soybeans, China needs to import almost all the significant increases in strategic resources, where prices are incomplete manifestation of market supply and demand in 2004, Chinese soybean processing enterprises in the procurement of soybean to go to the United States, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the soybean price doubled in a short time, with the procurement of the end of its price will have fallen very sharply, Chinese companies a huge loss for this Oil prices in the world economic recession is expected to significantly despite a rise to near 150 US dollars per barrel (China's foreign oil dependence to 50%), one of the inevitable big interest groups have manipulated behind the scenes (the specific circumstances of the next update) In this case the domestic situation is not 　　所幸的是还没等中国热的喘不过气，美国就倒下了，全球经济前景史无前例的黯淡，几乎所有的大宗商品价格都回落到06年以前的水平，石油价格更是低估到40美元每桶，国外消费市场的低迷更是增加了扩大内需的决心，使国内居民能真正享受到自己的劳动果实（而不是借给美国人）短期来看，失业短期增多，但经济的转型必然带来失业，但从长期来看低增长低通涨要比低增长高通胀要好的多（实际上中国09年增长率也会相当的高，至少7%）　　股市从6000点跌到2000点以下这段过程（不讨论操纵，黑幕），这时也许大家会说没有赢家，其实赢家就是所有没有炒股但有大批现金的人，这些人未来不一定能赚，但至少有这个机会，而且机会相当的大。08年前中国人想买什么什么涨，中投，中铝，平安的海外投资都浮亏大半，但没关系，现在机会来了，手握2万亿美元储备的中国人到底能买入多少廉价的资产，就要看看这些当权者的本事了（PS：不要对中国平安的表现有所希望因为平安老总马明哲手拿6600万年薪但毫无战略眼光。200多亿亏的不到10亿，现在却畏缩不前）　　以上是从仅经济角度来看金融危机给中国带来的好处。而政治上，军事上带来的利益可能无法用数字来表示。　　Fortunately, the Chinese are not such as the hot breath, the United States fell, an unprecedented global economic outlook bleak, almost all of the bulk commodity prices are back down to 2006 levels, oil prices are underestimated to 40 US dollars a barrel, foreign consumer market downturn is an increase of expanding domestic demand is determined, so that domestic residents can really enjoy the fruits of their labor (rather than lend American) the short term, short-term increase in unemployment, but the restructuring of the economy will inevitably bring to unemployment, but in the long term low inflation and low growth than low growth and high inflation to well many (in fact 09 annual growth rate of China will still be very high, at least 7%)　　The stock market dropped 2000 points from 6000 points, following this process (not to discuss the manipulation, dark), then maybe everyone will say there are no winners, in fact, is that all there is no winner stocks but there is a large number of people in cash, these people do not necessarily earn the future, But at least there is this opportunity, but the chances are fairly China before 2008, what to buy, what up, cast, aluminum, safety of overseas investment are most浮亏, but no matter, and now the opportunity to come, holding reserves of 2 trillion US dollars in the end China will buy the number of low-cost assets, we have to look at the ability of those in power (PS: not to the safety of China's performance manager hoped that because Ma Mingzhe Ping'an 66 million annual salary in hand but there is no strategic more than 200 billion deficit to less than one billion , but now they are vine)　　The above is only an economic point of view from the financial crisis give the benefits of C The political and military benefits may not be able to use figures to

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张小电1301

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fengzhenpeng

我们单位买了和多数据库，给你发部分文献，个人所得税的改革，是日本人写的，我的邮箱是，索取全部，因为无法一次性发完。Taxreform inJapan:Thecaseofpersonaltaxesa,b*harlesYujiHorioka,ShizukaSekitaaInstituteofSocialandEconomicResearch,OsakaUniversity,6-1,Mihogaoka,Ibaraki,Osaka567-0047,JapanbJapanSocietyforthePromotionofScience(JSPS)ResearchFellowandGraduateSchoolofEconomics,OsakaUniversity,c/oInstituteofSocialandEconomicResearch,6-1,Mihogaoka,Ibaraki,Osaka567-0047,JapanReceived21March2006;receivedinrevisedform 31May2006;accepted1June2006AbstractInthispaper,weconductatheoreticalanalysisofpersonaltaxes(deﬁnedtoincludeconsumptionandincometaxes),describeandevaluatethepastandpresentstructureofpersonaltaxesinJapan,andbasedonourﬁndings,makeanumberofpolicyrecommendationsabouthowtoreform personaltaxesinJWeﬁndthatthestructureofJapan’scurrentconsumptionandincometaxesisproblematicfrom theviewpointsofbothefﬁciencyandequityandproposeareform packagethatimprovesboththeefﬁciencyandequityofJapan’spersonaltaxesand,atthesametime,achievesﬁ#2006ElsevierBVAJELclassiﬁcation:H21;H23;H24Keywords:Consumption;Consumptiontax;CorlettandHague;Countercyclicalpolicy;Economicstimulus;Efﬁciency;Equity;Excessburden;Fiscalreconstruction;Fiscalreform;Governmentdebt;Imputedrent;Incometax;Inverseelasticityrule;Japan;Japaneseeconomy;Laborsupply;Leisure;Luxurygoods;Necessities;Optimaltaxation;Personaltaxes;Primarybalance;Progressivity;Ramsey;Regressivity;Saving;TIntroductionTheJapanesegovernment’soutstandingdebtasaratioofGDPiscurrentlyinexcessof150percentandisbyfarthehighestamongthemajorindustrializednations,dueinlargeparttotherepeatedeconomicstimuluspackagesimplementedduringthedecade-Thus,ﬁscalreconstructionisanurgentpriorityoftheJapanesegovernment,andithaspledgedtorestoretheprimarybalance(deﬁnedasgovernmentrevenuesexcludingbondrevenuesminusgovernmentexpendituresexcludinginterestpaymentsanddebtredemption)TheJapanesegovernmentplanstoachieveﬁscalreconstructionthrougha

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bluecode12345

建议你使用google直接搜索英文的关键字，可以直接找到英文版的。另外可以查找香港类似的网站或报道，一般会带有中英两个版本，就不会出现翻译的问题。再者国内的一些大型官方网站也都附带了英文的界面。

322 评论 12小时前发布

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