传染病模型及其应用毕业论文

Science of medicine's development already could prevent and control many infectious diseases effectively, smallpox is around the world eliminated, infectious diseases and so on bubonic plague, cholera are under the control. But still had some infectious diseases to explode or popular, harms people's health and the life. In the developing country, the infectious disease popular was still very serious; Even if in the developed country, some common infectious diseases has not vanished, but the new infectious disease will also appear, like AIDS (AIDS) and so on. Some infectious diseases infect very quickly, causes to cripple very high rate, the harm is enormous, thus infects the process to the infectious disease in the crowd the quantitative investigation to have the vital practical significance. the infectious disease epidemic process's research differs from with other disciplines, cannot through the way which tests in the crowd obtain the scientific data. In fact, does the infectious disease experiment in the crowd is extremely not the humanity. Therefore the related infectious disease's data, the material can only gain from the existing infectious disease popular report. These data are not very often comprehensive, acts according to these data to come with difficulty to determine certain parameters accurately, can only estimate its scope probably. Based on the above reason, then becomes one of research infectious disease epidemic process efficient paths using mathematics modelling and the computer simulation. the present paper will introduce mainly how to establish the mathematical model which the infectious disease infects. Including mathematics modelling thought. The fundamental model, meanwhile studies some concrete infectious disease model, like flu, German measles sickness model and so on.

1、确定自己所在省市的报名时间；2、自考每年开设4次（各省市开考的次数由省级考办决定），考试时间分别为1月、4月、7月和10月。报考之初，首先要查看当年自己所在省市都在什么时间考哪些课程，来确定自己要报考的科目；3、选择专业(各省市开设的专业不同)；4、选购教材（参看2011年统考教材表）由于自考教材变动较小，经常几年才更换教材，目前2011年公布的教材表为最新的。

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Medical science has been able to develop effective prevention and control of many infectious diseases, smallpox in the world was eliminated, plague, cholera and other infectious diseases under control. But there are still a number of infectious disease outbreak or epidemic, endangering people's health and life. In developing countries, the prevalence of infectious diseases are still very serious even in developed countries, some of the most common infectious diseases have not disappeared, and new infectious diseases will emerge, such as HIV (AIDS), and so on. Some infectious disease transmitted very quickly, leading to high morbidity and extremely harmful, and therefore the crowd in the transmission of infectious diseases in the process of quantitative research has important practical significance. .(AIDS), and so on. Some infectious disease transmitted very quickly, leading to high morbidity and extremely harmful, and therefore the crowd in the transmission of infectious diseases in the process of quantitative research has important practical prevalence of infectious diseases research and other subjects are different, can not be the way among the crowd of access to scientific data. In fact, the crowd for infectious diseases is extremely inhuman experiments. Therefore, the data on communicable diseases, information can only be from infectious diseases has been popular in the report of the acquisition. These data are often not comprehensive enough, the basis of these data difficult to accurately identify certain parameters, estimated only about its scope. For these reasons, the use of mathematical modeling and computer simulation study of infectious diseases have become popular during one of the effective paper will focus on how to create a mathematical model of disease transmission. Including the idea of mathematical modeling. The basic model, and also study some specific models of infectious diseases such as influenza, rubella disease model.